For the record, I agree with the hope that Worilds is snatched up in FA (thus eliminating the potential for the FO to tag him)
IMO, several factors apply to Worilds case. Both for and against rating him as a "top" OLB.
The argument(s) against:
Most often, a prospect has shown immediate ability to be a productive OLB. Historically speaking, most prospects show promise within the first year or two of starting or having significant playing time.
Rarely does a prospect take 3-4 years before having his breakout season. Usually, they either have it...or they don't.
While Worilds was blocked by some talent early on, he did see significant playing time prior to starting over the last 2 years. While he has been consistent, he has been only slightly above average in reaching the QB for sacks or pressures.
While Worilds IS likely to get better with another year of starting on the left, he isn't likely to jump too high or change dramatically. His ceiling is near his floor. He will be consistent and above average IMO for the rest of his career.
If ^^^this is the case, why pay more than 6 million/yr on a contract for someone who has only above average talent? Why not pay LESS for slightly less talent or slightly more for a talent who has a higher ceiling?
The argument(s) for: (a long term, 6mil+/yr contract)
He started all season for the first time in his tenure at the LOLB spot. While unremarkable, he was consistent against the run. His sacks increased in games 9-16 with 5.5 of his 7.5 sacks occurring during his second half season. The arrow appears to be pointing up ^^
It has been 3 years since he has taken to a different approach to his readiness and work-out habits. It appears to be helping him get on the field and stay healthy.
To me, Worilds is just like 'another Jason', Gildon...Gildon started in '96 after Greene left and had a 7 sack year followed by a 5 sack year. Then, Cowher/Haslett stopped dropping him into coverage as often and he put up 11 sacks, 8.5 sacks and 13.5 sacks and 12 sacks under Cowher/Tim Lewis.
Worilds could be just as good (or just as bad depending on how you saw Gildon) IMO, not worth top 10 contract dollars but worth something.
In the end, I would like to see us go after Graham or McPhee (whoever is lowest). Both can play LDE or LOLB and can stay on the field in all situations. If the market prices us out for these 3 (Worilds, Graham, McPhee) then we pick up a thickly built DL tweener like Odighizuwa, Dupree or Barnes as well as signing Moats and Harrison. If Harrison or Moats cannot be resigned, I go after Dezman Moses from KC.