As for his size. Yes, NFL players pack on weight. But presumably, all or most of them do. If we're going to assume Archer will put on a little weight, then we need to assume Devin Hester and Dexter McCluster did as well, and stop comparing their combine weights. Common sense dictates he will always be at least about 20 pounds behind the 8-ball. As for Archer's potential to add mass, I have plenty of doubt. He's a small-framed guy who's already 23. Dunno about you, but I was done growing at 23. All the lifting in the world wasn't going to make my frame get longer or my shoulders more broad and able to pack on 15 pounds of lean muscle mass. I think it's more than safe to assume his best-case scenario is to play around 5'7 180, and nobody that size cuts in on the next level. Some guys with similar builds may become good kick returners for a few years before they inevitably snap in half; even then, I don't value special teams quite as much as some do. And kickoff returns are being phased out of the league; they might be completely gone within a few years.
What, did you smoke and eat McDonalds?!?
An Athlete's physical peak is normally around 28, and they can still add lean muscle mass well into their 30's.
And all "weight" isn't the same either.
I'm gonna assume you are as expert at athletic weight training as you are at draft analysis.
Fact is, very few, even professional trainers, know what they are doing, and definitely the kind of weight you want to add to an OL vs a RB/WR is different, but TODAY'S NFL sure has a lot more guys with frames in the 5'8 180 lb range that are being utilized in a myriad of ways, including several on our own team, that have miraculously not snapped in half yet.
Again, this comparison to the HISTORY of the NFL RB at under 180 lbs is also way off target.
Don't know if you guys noticed, but the game has changed Dramatically in the last few years; offenses are wide open, rules restrict the D and how they can hardly touch a guy past the LOS anymore, let alone hit or tackle them like they used to. Don't know if you noticed the myriad of rules they are putting in to protect the receiver/ball carrier.
And again, we are talking about a 3rd round pick - BARELY a 3rd round pick, as he was a COMP PICK, so he might as well be a(n early) 4th round pick.
The odds of him making it in the NFL - REGARDLESS of size/speed/college production/injury history/etc - are already stacked against him. So, even if he washes out, it doesn't mean he's a bust, he's barely expected to contribute in the NFL anyways.
No reason to get your panties in a bunch because you think he's going to not make it. You're probably right. You've got to also admit that WHOMEVER ELSE they took at this pick was probably not going to make it either, regardless of any of his other measurables.
I say let the kid show what he can do. Get him on the field, he is quick and elusive, something very valuable in today's NFL.
If he doesn't make it to his "second contract" who cares? Neither do hardly any other RBs or WRs taken anywhere in the draft. That's why they have one every year, to get more guys to churn through the meat grinder known as the NFL. They are lucky to get out of the game with a few million in the bank and their body and style of life still maintained.
We will need another set of dudes to entertain us in a few years.
PEACE
-BLEEDS