Which of the following is more likely to happen?
Scoring a walk-off 75 yard TD drive with your 3rd string quarterback? or,
Moving thew ball 39 yards to give the Boz a chance at a 47 yard walk-off FG?
Papillon
Yeah, but it depends how many times we possessed the ball once Boz is given the opportunity for a FG. If it is only 1 possession then the likelihood of winning from 47 yards distance will be at about 74.3%. If we received the ball first, they stop us then we get the ball back for a 2nd possession, the 47 yard FG will increase to around 87.2% odds of him making it.
It's a game of odds and percentages.
