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TMC'S 2016 Steelers Mock Draft

Steelerfan81

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Draft

The hardest part about doing a mock draft for me isn’t deciding who I would pick as I always have favorites, but it is deciding who will make it to where I pick. I mean, who would have ever thought that DeCastro would slide, or Bud Dupree, or even Ben Roethlisberger for that matter. Those were highly rated players that fell in your lap. And, that could happen again, or they could be faced with a situation where guys they really like get taken before they pick. So, here is what I would do and why:

<b>25th pick-Andrew Billings, NT, Baylor </b>-I think there is a strong chance that Jackson goes before the Steelers pick. His length, speed, and ball skills have to be intriguing. Karl Joseph is definitely in the mix and depending on how the knee checks out, he could be taken over Billings. Jackson, Billings, and Joseph are my top 3 choices and if I knew about Joseph’s knee and if he would be ready to start the season could affect the order, probably putting him ahead of Billings, but I don’t. Billings played RT in high school and was brought in on passing downs as a 5-tech defensive end. He has some familiarity with being a pass rusher and some of his flexibility was limited last season due to a high ankle sprain. He was much more athletic in previous seasons and, like Tuitt, I think he will return to that player. His power is undeniable. I think he is one of the closest things I have seen to Casey Hampton or Dontari Poe since, well, Dontari Poe. I get we have holes at cornerback and safety, but you always have holes. It happens every draft. Draft the player, not the hole. You can have the player for 10 years if the talent is true and, next season, you will still have the same number of holes.

<b>58th pick-Artie Burns, CB, Miami</b>-I realize Artie Burns has some hype as a potential first rounder, but in the film I watched, he really never jumps off the tape. He is steady and consistent, but not a splash guy that explodes off the film. I think there is a group of top corners that go in the first 40 picks, but after those guys, you have a noticeable gap and Burns is at the top of that second group, along with Kendall Fuller, Will Redmond, and Mac Alexander. It is a flavor thing then and with 4 corners off the board, I think you might see a guy like Alexander/Fuller go early and you get a lull because some DL and WRs fly off the board. Maybe it is wishful thinking, but Redmond and Jalen Mills should be here as well and I like both those guys about as much. I see good value at the end of the second at corner.

<b>89th pick-Justin Simmons, S, Boston College-</b>I think Simmons is criminally under-rated. I considered just taking him in the second and being done with it. I think he is that good. He is athletic as hell, just looks smooth moving around on the field. He can play deep, single high if needed, and then on the next play walk down on the slot and cover the wide receiver. He is not afraid to support the run and is a steady, consistent tackler. He doesn’t blow guys up, but he puts the runner on the ground. He doesn’t bite on play action, never seems to get caught out of position, and was the unquestioned leader on a team that really could not do anything well but play defense. I see him as a guy that can start in this league for a decade and just give you quality play. If Simmons is not there, I think Jalen Mills might be here and even if I get Burns in the 2nd, Mills can play safety. KJ Dillion would be a consideration as well, then comes guys like Jeremy Cash, who I see as more of a moneybacker.

<b>123rd pick-Jatavis Brown, LB, Akron</b>-this is a difficult pick. There are so many ways you can go to backfill the roster with depth and add players you need. I want to double down at corner or safety. I want to nab a pass rusher. I would love to add to the offensive line. A wide receiver is an option. While I hit some needs in the 2nd and 3rd, I really feel that those two guys were excellent value if there. I like the players, they just happen to fill voids. I mean, if we did not “need” corners or safeties, I still want those guys on roster. So, in evaluating guys I want on roster, it has to be Brown here. I would love to get him later, but he is just too much of a player. He is athletic as hell. He does not have great height and that kills his draft stock, but this guy comes through bodies and sniffs out the football like a DEA drug dog. He recognizes plays, finds creases, and blows through to make stops behind the line as well as any linebacker in this draft. He has the speed and athleticism to handle coverage. He is a guy that when you go nickel, he can come in and be that heavy safety, coverage backer (moneybacker) you want and just handle all the roles you need. Love the way he plays. He is short, but dude doesn’t run from contact and will pop your ***.

<b>220th pick-Dadi Nicolas, OLB, Va Tech</b>-so, I am looking at who I have taken and I am thinking, I really need to nab a wide receiver or a runningback to give some fresh legs to those positions and try to develop a guy. But, Dadi Nicolas should be around this area. Many will be turned off because of his lack of bulk and his bench press numbers. I have to be honest, those things don’t blow my skirt up, but the guy plays his rear off. He will have guys cut at his legs, get up, chase, hustle, and run 20 yards to get in on tackles. He has long arms, gets them up when he cannot get pressure, uses his hands, and just appears to be a guy that comes every down to play football. I think he can add some weight and muscle and he plays stronger than his bench numbers indicate. He isn’t going to be a run stopper from day 1, but I think he can develop there and his burst as a pass rusher is really something we need.

<b>229th pick-Trae Elston, S, Ole Miss-</b>Elston is a big hitter that played free safety at Ole Miss and he really should have been cast as a strong. He can give some minutes on special teams while the Steelers work to develop his coverage abilities and try to make him into a starting strong safety. Consistency is his big issue.

<b>246th pick-Ken Crawley, CB, Colorado</b>-Crawley is a solid choice at this point in the draft because you are hoping for height, weight, speed guys. He has the length and long speed to play in the NFL. He isn’t the thickest corner and needs to stay outside because his change of direction isn’t elite. He isn’t a physical guy and has to develop in this area and he isn’t a guy that is going to support the run well. Two glaring holes in his game, but when you are looking for players to develop, the physical traits are what you are hunting. While there are offensive positions I would love to fill, again, drafting players I think can be developed to help the team and Crawley and Elston have the physical traits. In addition, the Steelers visited veteran interior offensive linemen, did not bring in a glut of offensive skill players or linemen, so it looks like they are not as happy with the depth on that side of the ball as they are with the depth on defense.
 
If things fell that way, I could definitely live with that draft. Billings could//should start this year or at least see significant reps with McCullers. Burns is a good 2nd round CB and I like Crawley as a late CB pick. Plus, the draft is all D in areas of need. Something a lot of us on here might do but I doubt the Steelers will do.
 
Where do I sign that draft? We can only dream this could happen.
Tell TMC to come back, there are not many douchebags around and with so many mods keeping things clean I doubt he'd find much noise to bother him
 
I would be okay with that draft. Always depends on what talent is on the board when you pick, but it seems reasonable.

I would debate the selection of a defensive lineman in the first round when I think this is the deepest defensive line group I've scouted. It might make more sense to grab a different position early (CB?) whose talent I think dries up (or becomes a lot more questionable) as the draft progresses.

I also would disagree with Billings as another Dontari Poe. I do not see that type of talent. I think his career will be much closer to B.J. Raji (who really underperformed the hype/draft status when he came out). Raji has been a good player, but not quite the dominant player Poe has become. And Raji's college tape was much better than Billings in my opinion.

Do not take this as me just disagreeing to disagree. I agree with TMC this year wholeheartedly with Simmons. I really like his tape too and would love him in the 3rd round. I also think Burns in round 2 would be value as would Brown in round 4.

Lastly, I think we are really missing the possibility of a LT in round 1. I think some of the O-lineman are a bit overrated right now and will fall and I think there will be some guys available when we pick. I just really question the idea we are going to accept Villanueva and Ryan Harris as our LT depth chart going in to the season (of course this is the same group that went into 2010 with Jon Scott and Max Starks there so what do I know). That 2010 season was almost derailed by that decision in my opinion and for a team that is now fully dependent on the offense to carry the load, it's not quite the same situation as 2010 either.
 
I think Burns at 58 and Brown at 123 would be steals. Not sure how much the Steelers value the NT position anymore.
 
Billings is growing on me a little but he's more Warren Sapp than Casey Hampton imo. But maybe he and McCullers could be a nice thunder and lightning combination.

Burns is a solid value. Reminds me a lot of Bryant McFadden. A very solid CB.

Simmons, Brown and Dadi Nicolas are all on my sleeper list. Put Dean Lowry in the 7th and I'm jizzing in my pants.

All in all I'd be happy with the draft.
 
I am all for grabbing Simmons in two. If Billings is 1 then you have two problems solved and then can double down at corner in 3, 4. or CB and WR.

Or even bring in a few low money free agents, to add to the competition.

Simmons looks like a guy that someone will say is he two or third round value, but lets not take a chance. And let's be honest late two is like a third round pick anyways.

Steelers pretty much did that with Golson last year.....

TMC as always good work. And much appreciated.
 
Billings and the next CB and after that it's whatever it is.

thanks TMC.
 
Sorry TMC, I am an admirer of your work but an all defense draft is not realistic. Never gunna happen.
 
Draft

The hardest part about doing a mock draft for me isn’t deciding who I would pick as I always have favorites, but it is deciding who will make it to where I pick. I mean, who would have ever thought that DeCastro would slide, or Bud Dupree, or even Ben Roethlisberger for that matter. Those were highly rated players that fell in your lap. And, that could happen again, or they could be faced with a situation where guys they really like get taken before they pick. So, here is what I would do and why:

<b>25th pick-Andrew Billings, NT, Baylor </b>-I think there is a strong chance that Jackson goes before the Steelers pick. His length, speed, and ball skills have to be intriguing. Karl Joseph is definitely in the mix and depending on how the knee checks out, he could be taken over Billings. Jackson, Billings, and Joseph are my top 3 choices and if I knew about Joseph’s knee and if he would be ready to start the season could affect the order, probably putting him ahead of Billings, but I don’t. Billings played RT in high school and was brought in on passing downs as a 5-tech defensive end. He has some familiarity with being a pass rusher and some of his flexibility was limited last season due to a high ankle sprain. He was much more athletic in previous seasons and, like Tuitt, I think he will return to that player. His power is undeniable. I think he is one of the closest things I have seen to Casey Hampton or Dontari Poe since, well, Dontari Poe. I get we have holes at cornerback and safety, but you always have holes. It happens every draft. Draft the player, not the hole. You can have the player for 10 years if the talent is true and, next season, you will still have the same number of holes.

<b>58th pick-Artie Burns, CB, Miami</b>-I realize Artie Burns has some hype as a potential first rounder, but in the film I watched, he really never jumps off the tape. He is steady and consistent, but not a splash guy that explodes off the film. I think there is a group of top corners that go in the first 40 picks, but after those guys, you have a noticeable gap and Burns is at the top of that second group, along with Kendall Fuller, Will Redmond, and Mac Alexander. It is a flavor thing then and with 4 corners off the board, I think you might see a guy like Alexander/Fuller go early and you get a lull because some DL and WRs fly off the board. Maybe it is wishful thinking, but Redmond and Jalen Mills should be here as well and I like both those guys about as much. I see good value at the end of the second at corner.

<b>89th pick-Justin Simmons, S, Boston College-</b>I think Simmons is criminally under-rated. I considered just taking him in the second and being done with it. I think he is that good. He is athletic as hell, just looks smooth moving around on the field. He can play deep, single high if needed, and then on the next play walk down on the slot and cover the wide receiver. He is not afraid to support the run and is a steady, consistent tackler. He doesn’t blow guys up, but he puts the runner on the ground. He doesn’t bite on play action, never seems to get caught out of position, and was the unquestioned leader on a team that really could not do anything well but play defense. I see him as a guy that can start in this league for a decade and just give you quality play. If Simmons is not there, I think Jalen Mills might be here and even if I get Burns in the 2nd, Mills can play safety. KJ Dillion would be a consideration as well, then comes guys like Jeremy Cash, who I see as more of a moneybacker.

<b>123rd pick-Jatavis Brown, LB, Akron</b>-this is a difficult pick. There are so many ways you can go to backfill the roster with depth and add players you need. I want to double down at corner or safety. I want to nab a pass rusher. I would love to add to the offensive line. A wide receiver is an option. While I hit some needs in the 2nd and 3rd, I really feel that those two guys were excellent value if there. I like the players, they just happen to fill voids. I mean, if we did not “need” corners or safeties, I still want those guys on roster. So, in evaluating guys I want on roster, it has to be Brown here. I would love to get him later, but he is just too much of a player. He is athletic as hell. He does not have great height and that kills his draft stock, but this guy comes through bodies and sniffs out the football like a DEA drug dog. He recognizes plays, finds creases, and blows through to make stops behind the line as well as any linebacker in this draft. He has the speed and athleticism to handle coverage. He is a guy that when you go nickel, he can come in and be that heavy safety, coverage backer (moneybacker) you want and just handle all the roles you need. Love the way he plays. He is short, but dude doesn’t run from contact and will pop your ***.

<b>220th pick-Dadi Nicolas, OLB, Va Tech</b>-so, I am looking at who I have taken and I am thinking, I really need to nab a wide receiver or a runningback to give some fresh legs to those positions and try to develop a guy. But, Dadi Nicolas should be around this area. Many will be turned off because of his lack of bulk and his bench press numbers. I have to be honest, those things don’t blow my skirt up, but the guy plays his rear off. He will have guys cut at his legs, get up, chase, hustle, and run 20 yards to get in on tackles. He has long arms, gets them up when he cannot get pressure, uses his hands, and just appears to be a guy that comes every down to play football. I think he can add some weight and muscle and he plays stronger than his bench numbers indicate. He isn’t going to be a run stopper from day 1, but I think he can develop there and his burst as a pass rusher is really something we need.

<b>229th pick-Trae Elston, S, Ole Miss-</b>Elston is a big hitter that played free safety at Ole Miss and he really should have been cast as a strong. He can give some minutes on special teams while the Steelers work to develop his coverage abilities and try to make him into a starting strong safety. Consistency is his big issue.

<b>246th pick-Ken Crawley, CB, Colorado</b>-Crawley is a solid choice at this point in the draft because you are hoping for height, weight, speed guys. He has the length and long speed to play in the NFL. He isn’t the thickest corner and needs to stay outside because his change of direction isn’t elite. He isn’t a physical guy and has to develop in this area and he isn’t a guy that is going to support the run well. Two glaring holes in his game, but when you are looking for players to develop, the physical traits are what you are hunting. While there are offensive positions I would love to fill, again, drafting players I think can be developed to help the team and Crawley and Elston have the physical traits. In addition, the Steelers visited veteran interior offensive linemen, did not bring in a glut of offensive skill players or linemen, so it looks like they are not as happy with the depth on that side of the ball as they are with the depth on defense.

Very good TMC.

I have us:

1 ) CB Jackson III - Speed, playmaking and ball skills. Exactly what we need. Blake replaced
2 ) OLB/DL Nassib - Top pass rusher. Good vs the run. J Jones replaced.
3 ) S Simmons - I can only hope he's on the board.
4 ) NT RIdgeway - Here's our plug and play NT.
6 ) QB Hogan - Excellent skil set for a back up QB, which is a huge need
6 ) P Kasser - Fantactic leg and hang time. Good holder too. Upgrade over Berry.
7 ) OL Lewis. Big long, but a bit slow. Former tackle will need to move to guard.
 
Like the draft but I don't Simmons being there. If we want him, we are going to have to burn a 2nd. Honestly, I may take Simmons over Burns but I do like both.
 
Watch out for an OLB in rd 1 or 2. Tombert was very coy about Jarvis's 5th year option in their press conference today. Like I have been saying...watch for Spence...
 
I'm hoping we don't reach for a DB in round 1. I'd be ok if we traded out of Round 1 and got an additional 2nd and 3rd for it or maybe a team that has 2 round 2 picks so we have more picks in this draft.

There's a lot of talk by the paper we can't mention about how an NT is only on the field 33% of the game due to spread offenses. Yes that's true for the most part, but that's also what allowed our MLBs last decade to be dominant playing behind Big Snack. McClendon was garbage as a NT IMO, its time for an upgrade there in addition to as many good bodies in the secondary as possible.
 
Watch out for an OLB in rd 1 or 2. Tombert was very coy about Jarvis's 5th year option in their press conference today. Like I have been saying...watch for Spence...
Or Shilique Calhoun if Spence is gone. Sorry, just had to get in my obligatory Calhoun post of the day.
 
Sorry TMC, I am an admirer of your work but an all defense draft is not realistic. Never gunna happen.

Agreed. No way all picks go to defense. The first three picks are fine, but after that TMC's draft falls apart a bit. Where are the pass rushers? We could use OL and WR/KR depth. I'd be surprised if one pick isn't used here.

PS: TMC if you're reading this come back and post every now and then.
 
I like Calhoun in rd 2, for sure. Colbert more or less said that they won't pick a rd 2 corner in rd 1. I think we like Apple and WJIII. If they are gone, I bet we look at Billings, Spence, Joseph, or trade down. Mackenzie and Fuller are rd 2 guys on most boards I think.



Or Shilique Calhoun if Spence is gone. Sorry, just had to get in my obligatory Calhoun post of the day.
 
I am a firm believer that we don't need to draft ANY O-line this year. We've committed a ton of high picks to the O-Line adn it's panned out. Villa, Foster, Pouncey, DD, Gilbert is solid. We could upgrade at LT or LG, but this year, it wouldn't translate to a usable upgrade. We already have 2 tackles and 2 interior linemen backing up the starters. We aren't going to carry more than 8 OL on game day, so we have no need at OL this year. Pick up a 7th round pick or a comp pick for depth. Unless a stud OT falls, I don't address the line until round 7, if I even address it at all.
 
Pick up a 7th round pick or a comp pick for depth. Unless a stud OT falls, I don't address the line until round 7, if I even address it at all.
The kid I like who may be around in the 7th is Stephane Nembot. The guy has all the physical traits to make it in the big league, just needs to chisel his craft. With Munch, he'd be working with the best.
 
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Think we draft a TE somewhere in the middle and an RB somewhere around that same spot. We need depth at those two positions. The rest of the draft has very high potential to be all defense. WR is a sleeper position as well given Marty's 4:20 problem
 
We do? 1. Green, 2. James, 3. Spaeth, 4. Grimble

Spaeth is done after this season, he's very injury prone. Grimble is an undrafted kid. Probably a practice squad guy if he sticks. Shows how much they think of James as a starter that they went out and signed Green right away.

If we don't go TE this year we will next year once Spaeth is done.

RB definitely needs addressed as a depth pick. D Will is in the last year of his contract and who knows what we do with Le'Veon's contract.
 
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