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Deflategate Investigation: Complete ... Awaiting Report.

The report is pretty damning.

I disliked the inaccuracies of the leaks to the media, but the report is full of actual facts and text messages that present strong evidence this was not a one-time thing and the trainers/Brady conspired to deflate footballs prior to games.

My punishment:

New England Patriots fined $5 million
New England Patriots stripped of 1st round pick in 2016
Bill Belichick fined $500,000
Tom Brady suspended 2 games
Jim McNally banned from ever working in the NFL again (in any capacity)
John Jastremski banned from ever working in the NFL again

so you no longer believe that there is a scientific reason for the balls being deflated ????
 
So the thing that bothers me the most is "it is more probable than not" and
"at least generally aware of the inappropriate activities" statements == how are they different from allegedly or allegations --- some one please explain the difference to me --

IMO, if, the *'s and Brady would have FULLY cooperated during the investigation - "it is more probable than not/allegedly" changes to "definitely"...so, in essence, the phrase had to be used to keep the egg of their faces and still remain subjectively correct in their ruling.
 
in a word yes much worse

I'm open minded on this one --- I'm just wondering where it really ranks in terms of no-nos. In the '70, receivers used Stickum, D-linemen covered themselves with Vasoline and the Steelers were accused (by the Raiders) of purposefully making sure the turf at Three Rivers was partially frozen in order to slow down the Raiders receivers. Brady has to be punished for this --- I would be much more lenient if he didn't lie the world --- but how bad is it really if we separate the act from the fact that we all despise Brady, Belichick, Kraft and the rest of the Pats?
 
so you no longer believe that there is a scientific reason for the balls being deflated ????

from patsfan.com http://www.patsfans.com/new-england...ads/and-the-verdict-is-guilty.1119576/page-2:

First thing: I asked you several questions in my reply to you. You seem to think that I should answer your questions, but that there is not reciprocal obligation. Why is that?

2nd thing: You do NOT know how to do the pressure / temperature calculations, do you?
I'm not asking because I don't know the answer. I'm asking to get you to face the answer. And to get you to think about the implications of that fact when you make bold, bald assertions that contradict the laws of physics.



Fill-Up-Rivers said: ↑


@tom.kordis what is it you want to bet on exactly ??? I'm just saying the Brady and the 2 dudes are guilty...The 2 dudes lost their jobs and Brady will get a slap on the hand. But who knows, Goddell might lay down the Hammer like he did with the Saints.


The bold part is what we are betting on, exactly.
There is precisely zero doubt that nobody let any air out of those balls.

I don't give a flying fart what Wells says, or what the ex-Chair of Princeton's physics department, or what the fine fellows at Exponent labs say.

They ALL got it wrong.

The FACT that the League doesn't understand the trivially simple interaction between temperature & pressure in footballs is BLATANTLY obvious from the text of the report. It is laughable, if it didn't convict 3 innocent people.

The FACT that they got their calculations wrong is right there, in the numbers in their own report.
It is not possible that their conclusions are correct.

And, frankly, what I've read so far is simply incompetent.

And the truth about this, the fact that they screwed the pooch, WILL come out during the course of this football season, as soon as the weather cools off. (November or December). As soon as we get into cold weather games, EVERY home team's footballs (& some visiting team's balls) are going to deflate. To exactly the level that the Pats did.

Some visiting teams' footballs will deflate exactly as the Colts' did.
Everyone will run in circles, until someone (like me) points out the very simple variable that explains this simple mystery.

The explanation that the Good Princeton Professor & the folks at Exponent labs couldn't figure out.

So what they chose instead was an explanation that violates the laws of physics.

That was a REALLY crappy choice.

What will you say then, eh, Fill?
Is EVERYBODY cheating?
Will you then rescind your accusations against Tom Brady?
And who cares if people DO rescind their accusations, 9 friggin months too late? When his whole clusterfork should have been over & done with in 3 friggin' days.!

So, that's what we're betting on. I agree that, for the next month or so, the media & the NFL are going to HAMMER Brady, the ball boys & the Pats organization.

Some time next November or December (or sooner, if some of us can get the media to pay attention to competent testing), everything will reverse when the clowns realize that everyone's balls are "deflating".
__



Fill-Up-Rivers said: ↑


This is the 2nd time the Patriots have been caught cheating after all :-/


Spygate? A stupid technicality.
And you got the story COMPLETELY WRONG when you asserted that they taped the Jets' practice. Why are you so poor at getting your facts straight?

Deflategate? Nope.
Nobody cheated, and nobody got caught.
An incompetent report was released by a lawyer.
Are you shocked, SHOCKED I tell you, that this could happen??




Fill-Up-Rivers said: ↑


It's sounds like you're really into science.....


I've been a mechanical engineer (a good one) for over 40 years.
When I heard about this fiasco, it took me one napkin, one pen & about 90 seconds to figure out what happened. With ZERO doubt.

There are approximately 2 million competent mechanical & chemical engineers in this country who could do the same calculation that I did. And do it correctly.

It appears that every single QUOTED TV personality & TV "science guy", including Neil deGrasse Tyson (PhD in physics & cosmology), Bill Nye, at least 3 PhDs in meteorology at the Weather Channel (who DO allegedly work with Pressure-temperature calculations) are not capable of getting the correct answer.

And, frankly, I do believe that there is one certain way of getting your calculation onto the national media stage: Do It WRONG. Which leads you to the oh-so-sensational conclusion that Brady's a liar & a cheat.

Similarly, I KNOW that there is one CERTAIN way to NOT get your calculation onto the national media stage: Do the Calculation CORRECTLY. Which leads to the not-particularly-sensational conclusion that "the temperature drop did it, not Mr. Golden Boy."

For the slimeballs in the media, what fun is that...??

The reason that I know this last point is that I lived it. I was in Phoenix for the 12 days before the Super Bowl, including Media day. I approached approximately 65 (±5) reporters, and asked them if they would like to know the answer to the biggest story of the day. 64 of them feigned "no interest". One listened, looked at the trivially simple calculation that PROVES that nobody tampered with the balls, and informed me that he couldn't write a story that used so many equations.

I asked several if it bothered them, as human beings, to be publicly accusing innocent people of lying & cheating. Most were offended by this question, but were not willing to spend 10 minutes to find out the truth about their actions. Too much trouble, don't you know.

A couple replied with remarkable, & pathetic, honesty that "No, it doesn't bother me in the slightest."



Fill-Up-Rivers said: ↑


Will Science explain why the Patriots have unexplainably low amount of fumble's since the 2007 season ? We're talking winning the Lottery multiple times type stats.


No, statistics is NOT "science".
But GOOD statistics does disprove CRAPPY, INCOMPETENT statistics.
And the crappy incompetent statistics that you are quoting has already been disproven.



Fill-Up-Rivers said: ↑


Also did you hear what kind of Brady memorabilia that equipment manager has ???? He claimed to have Brady's 50,000 passing yard Football ...Brady was trading him Game Day Schwagg in trade for him taking care of keeping the balls Psi at what Brady liked


Who gives a ****, cowboy?
Do you think that "conversations & Game Day Schwagg" change the Ideal Gas Laws?
I can assure you that they do not.

Nothing that I've posted here is limited to the Pats / Colts game. It doesn't change one iota depending on any actions by any people.

The pressure in the Pats balls was EXACTLY where it had to be, per the gas laws.
The pressure in the Colts' balls was EXACTLY where they had to be, according to the gas laws.

NOBODY gets to break the gas laws.

They were all out on the same field, in the same cold, rainy conditions. And they were there long enough to equilibrate to the same rain / air temperature.

And yet the pressures changes were different.

Which leads one to the obvious conclusion that there was something different about their starting condition.

What was it?


Last edited: Today at 6:07 AM


tom.kordis, Today at 5:36 AM
 
not a goddamn thing will be done of consequence to the Patriots.
nothing.
Kraft's ties to CBS and the DirecTV Sunday Ticket cash cow will prevent that.

remember, after SpyGate - Pats were docked a first rounder, "fined" a sum and Belichick was fined as well.
that "first rounder" was their own, which was a low-first round pick. they still had one via trade from the previous season.
then Kraft gave Belichick a raise with signing bonus that was equal to or more than that fine (I dont feel like looking it up).

this organization and its' fans don't give a flying **** what the NFL "imposes" on them.
"every team cheats"
 
I'd like to share in many of you guys optimism.

There has never been any doubt in my mind that the entire Pat* organization is tainted. It has been obvious they would rather spend the time pushing the boundaries of the rules than to play the game with integrity. There is no doubt the organization should be punished. If there is one thing history has taught us they won't be. The Pat* play by their rules while the rest of the league is held to a different set of standards. I hope I'm completely wrong but the wording of the report "more probable" and "generally aware" leaves room for interpretation. The generalization of those two statements and the wiggle room they provide worries me. If no punishment beyond the locker room attendants are handed down this will be the end of my interest in the NFL.
 
The simple fact is Brady has felt for some time that he had a special set of rules... just watch him cry for flags over incidental contact on him or his recievers and often get late calls from it. the entitlement carried over into his real life as well... him suing the guy for dumpster diving his stuff for example... The fact is he is 38 this season and about done. the Pats have had some bickering between he and they lately. I wouldnt be surprised at all if they use this to move away from him like the colts did with Manning. Brady would fetch a decent return and really the Pats could win with a lesser QB and their system.
 
The simple fact is Brady has felt for some time that he had a special set of rules... just watch him cry for flags over incidental contact on him or his recievers and often get late calls from it. the entitlement carried over into his real life as well... him suing the guy for dumpster diving his stuff for example... The fact is he is 38 this season and about done. the Pats have had some bickering between he and they lately. I wouldnt be surprised at all if they use this to move away from him like the colts did with Manning. Brady would fetch a decent return and really the Pats could win with a lesser QB and their system.

They do not have an Andrew Luck in the waiting like the Colts did...
 
It's really simple, and has been since Belichik arrived in New England. How does a team of mostly average players win 4 Super Bowls? A 6th round pick starting at QB after backing up in college. Another backup QB comes in for a season and leads the team to an 11-5 record, moves to other teams and never comes close to repeating that success. You want to believe it can't happen, but....
 
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ha ha

Bring on the Jimmy Garoppolo era!
 
So the thing that bothers me the most is "it is more probable than not" and
"at least generally aware of the inappropriate activities" statements == how are they different from allegedly or allegations --- some one please explain the difference to me --

It's "lawyer speak". When writing the brief/report, Wells and his associates had to keep in mind what the standard of evidence was for a finding of guilt. The rule book states that the standard is a "preponderance of the evidence". Which is interpreted as "is it 'more probable than not' that the person referred to committed, encouraged, had knowledge, etc. of the act(s) that form the basis of the investigation.

In essence, Wells and his associates are saying "Using the standard of proof that is applicable (preponderance of the evidence) we find that the two employees of the Pats** committed the act and Brady pretty much knew about/encouraged it (more probable than not).
 
The report is pretty damning.

I disliked the inaccuracies of the leaks to the media, but the report is full of actual facts and text messages that present strong evidence this was not a one-time thing and the trainers/Brady conspired to deflate footballs prior to games.

My punishment:

New England Patriots fined $5 million
New England Patriots stripped of 1st round pick in 2016
Bill Belichick fined $500,000
Tom Brady suspended 2 games
Jim McNally banned from ever working in the NFL again (in any capacity)
John Jastremski banned from ever working in the NFL again



Deljzc I have to disagree with you completely on this. If you are going to Ban 2 of the parties to this cheating you need to ban the third. It was clearly evident that the deflating was done at the request of Tom Brady and not the other way around. He is the instigator and the one to benefit the most by this activity. The penalties should if anything be more severe for Brady than any of the others for the same reason the mafia boss is subject to more severe penalties than his Lackeys.
 
So the thing that bothers me the most is "it is more probable than not" and
"at least generally aware of the inappropriate activities" statements == how are they different from allegedly or allegations --- some one please explain the difference to me --

An allegation happens prior to any investigation or finding of facts. It is nothing more than one person being accused of something. At that phase no evidence has been presented to determine actual events to a court or deciding body. A preponderance of evidence occurs after evidence has been examined and reviewed and indicates the events listed in the accusation are very likely to have happened. This is a lesser standard than beyond all reasonable doubt used in criminal cases but not a large amount less, it is much more than probable cause for example. I hope that helps.

The reason for the difference in the two is criminal conduct comes with the possibility of incarceration and could in some instances involve capital punishment. Civil cases on the other hand involve monetary penalties and do not come with the threat of incarceration or capital punishment thus the lower standards.
 
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The report is pretty damning.

I disliked the inaccuracies of the leaks to the media, but the report is full of actual facts and text messages that present strong evidence this was not a one-time thing and the trainers/Brady conspired to deflate footballs prior to games.

My punishment:

New England Patriots fined $5 million
New England Patriots stripped of 1st round pick in 2016
Bill Belichick fined $500,000
Tom Brady suspended 2 games
Jim McNally banned from ever working in the NFL again (in any capacity)
John Jastremski banned from ever working in the NFL again

My punishment:
Tom Brady suspended 4 games. No reduction. 4 games at the start of the season.
Jim McNally lifetime NFL ban.
John Jastremski lifetime NFL ban.
 
Del and Fill up Rivers are right in their understanding of the Noble Gas Laws.

However, when the balls were checked at halftime, the Colt's balls dropped according to the laws, the Patriots balls were over the standard deviation to account to environmental factors in the decrease of their ball's pressure. Therefore, they were tampered with. There was time tests that showed you can deflate 15 balls appropriately in 90sec to the levels that the balls were. The report is clear, and did show that tampering did occur, and punishment will be doled out. The only saving grace for the Pats is Kraft's relationship with Goodell. I believe the punishment, if any, for the ownership/ coaching/ admin will be minimal if any, since the report cleared them all of wrongdoing. It would have to be a leap to punish the entire organization. Allowing it to happen may be a stretch to punish Bellycheat, however the competitive advantage could come in to play, and a draft pick could be docked.
 
I'm open minded on this one --- I'm just wondering where it really ranks in terms of no-nos. In the '70, receivers used Stickum, D-linemen covered themselves with Vasoline and the Steelers were accused (by the Raiders) of purposefully making sure the turf at Three Rivers was partially frozen in order to slow down the Raiders receivers. Brady has to be punished for this --- I would be much more lenient if he didn't lie the world --- but how bad is it really if we separate the act from the fact that we all despise Brady, Belichick, Kraft and the rest of the Pats?

Al if my memory holds true, the field at three rivers was frozen because one or more of the tarps failed to adequately protect the field due to high winds and the storm. The Steelers did what a reasonable person would do to protect the field but were unsuccessful. The weather was an act of God, The deflated balls were an act of three people in collusion to cheat and none of them can be confused with God not even Brady.

Stickum was an allowable substance in the 70s if I remember correctly so no cheating occurred, and the Vaseline on the jerseys was not banned but was used to help prevent holding by offensive linemen which was illegal. I do not believe any of these events are in any way close to what has transpired with the patriots a team and organization that has systematically employed cheating for many years.
 
Del and Fill up Rivers are right in their understanding of the Noble Gas Laws.

However, when the balls were checked at halftime, the Colt's balls dropped according to the laws, the Patriots balls were over the standard deviation to account to environmental factors in the decrease of their ball's pressure. Therefore, they were tampered with. There was time tests that showed you can deflate 15 balls appropriately in 90sec to the levels that the balls were. The report is clear, and did show that tampering did occur, and punishment will be doled out. The only saving grace for the Pats is Kraft's relationship with Goodell. I believe the punishment, if any, for the ownership/ coaching/ admin will be minimal if any, since the report cleared them all of wrongdoing. It would have to be a leap to punish the entire organization. Allowing it to happen may be a stretch to punish Bellycheat, however the competitive advantage could come in to play, and a draft pick could be docked.

With the inconsistency in punishment that has been handed out by the league I would not be surprised if a pardon was issued for any wrong doing and the two lackeys take all the blame. Banning them from all future work with the league is way to harsh for their role in the events. They should receive no more time away from the game than Brady does and no fine at all since they were doing what they were told. Their future employment with the organization could have depended on it and they are not likely well enough financially to be able to refuse.
 
The most damning evidence is the not the PSI of the balls, its the string of text messages.

You ban McNally and Jerkowski because of the tone of their conversation. They are completely unprofessional and blatantly and clearly disregard the rules of the game. Brady's involvement, while strongly implied, is not quite as definite, nor is his tone/directive.

In fact, you could argue Brady wants his balls EXACTLY 12.5 psi (legal but on the low end) and these guys have struggled to make him happy. It is unclear whether Brady knew about "the needle" while it is clear McNally and Jerkowski knew about the "needle".

The whole thing about these employees is shady. Why should doing their job require kickbacks from the players? Why should they be getting sneakers and jerseys?

Is Brady paying for illegal activity or is it more "when the balls feel good, he gives them a bonus"? It's just extremely unclear when I read the report.

The hammer should really come down on the team. These are THEIR employees that are discussing by text cheating the game and getting paid under the table in merchandise (I doubt either of these guys filed these perks on their taxes). And because this is a 2nd offense for stretching the rules, it needs to be substantial. And to me it needs to be MORE than last time.
 
The most damning evidence is the not the PSI of the balls, its the string of text messages.

You ban McNally and Jerkowski because of the tone of their conversation. They are completely unprofessional and blatantly and clearly disregard the rules of the game. Brady's involvement, while strongly implied, is not quite as definite, nor is his tone/directive.

In fact, you could argue Brady wants his balls EXACTLY 12.5 psi (legal but on the low end) and these guys have struggled to make him happy. It is unclear whether Brady knew about "the needle" while it is clear McNally and Jerkowski knew about the "needle".

The whole thing about these employees is shady. Why should doing their job require kickbacks from the players? Why should they be getting sneakers and jerseys?

Is Brady paying for illegal activity or is it more "when the balls feel good, he gives them a bonus"? It's just extremely unclear when I read the report.

The hammer should really come down on the team. These are THEIR employees that are discussing by text cheating the game and getting paid under the table in merchandise (I doubt either of these guys filed these perks on their taxes). And because this is a 2nd offense for stretching the rules, it needs to be substantial. And to me it needs to be MORE than last time.

If it is not illegal why pay for it. I believe you are reaching. There has been a failure to comply with the investigation, it is outlined in great detail in the articles. Equal justice should be invoked. It is not fair to make the equipment guy and the ball boy patsies for a millionaire. Just as in a contract murder the party paying is charged the same as the one hired to do the deed. Granted that air pressure and killing are no where near the same in severity the same principals regarding collusion and conspiracy to commit should apply.

If Brady wanted the footballs at 12.5 the low end of the permissible scale they would not have had to take them anywhere to do that let alone going into a bathroom and deflating them. I have heard more legitimate explanations from politicians than that.

Please excuse my big type above I am not yelling at you but really disbelieve the possibility of that scenario you have postulated. I really do not see any mitigating circumstances for this behavior at all simply because there is none what so ever to be found spin be damned.
 
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It's "lawyer speak". When writing the brief/report, Wells and his associates had to keep in mind what the standard of evidence was for a finding of guilt. The rule book states that the standard is a "preponderance of the evidence". Which is interpreted as "is it 'more probable than not' that the person referred to committed, encouraged, had knowledge, etc. of the act(s) that form the basis of the investigation.

In essence, Wells and his associates are saying "Using the standard of proof that is applicable (preponderance of the evidence) we find that the two employees of the Pats** committed the act and Brady pretty much knew about/encouraged it (more probable than not).

An allegation happens prior to any investigation or finding of facts. It is nothing more than one person being accused of something. At that phase no evidence has been presented to determine actual events to a court or deciding body. A preponderance of evidence occurs after evidence has been examined and reviewed and indicates the events listed in the accusation are very likely to have happened. This is a lesser standard than beyond all reasonable doubt used in criminal cases but not a large amount less, it is much more than probable cause for example. I hope that helps.

The reason for the difference in the two is criminal conduct comes with the possibility of incarceration and could in some instances involve capital punishment. Civil cases on the other hand involve monetary penalties and do not come with the threat of incarceration or capital punishment thus the lower standards.

LOL I guess I was just trying to indicate that Ben's " allegations " had him crucified -- suspended for 6 games so in my opinion "Probably " should ALSO lead to suspension !!
 
Does anyone have those numbers that show how the *'s are a statistical outlier in terms of fumbles? I know I've seen them posted on here.. would definitely appreciate that
 
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