It amazes me that VDE is as high as he is - I like Dupree but you hated him during the draft process - VDE is Dupree II. I'd rather we take the proven commodity or drop back to the second and acquire more picks...
First off, "proven commodity" is non-existent for NFL draft picks. Yes, I get draft candidates played against differing levels of competition, but none has played in the NFL. Jarvis Jones had production in the SEC. Did that make him a better NFL player? No, it did not. Jack Lambert played at Kent State. Did that make him less of an NFL player? No, it did not.
Second, you prefer Evans due to the competition he faced. Okay, and he also had multiple NFL draft-worthy defensive lineman ahead of him, and did not perform well (or at all for the most part) at the combine. 30" vertical, 9'8" broad jump (both pretty bad), and an "ehhh" 6.95 3-cone. Evans' vertical was the 4th worst among LB'ers, and his broad jump tied for 4th worst. Also, he does not run the 40 either at the combine or his pro day. I just think he lacks the fast-twitch that he absolutely needs to have as a 6'2", 232 lb. interior backer.
Third, Vander Esch is bigger, (6'4", 256 lbs.), with
extremely long arms (34" basically), ran a 4.65, did 20 reps (Evans did neither test at the combine), 39.5" vertical (2nd best among LB'ers), 10'4" broad jump (5th best), and who rang up 140 tackles, 4 sacks, 2 interceptions and 5 passes defensed his junior year. He had injuries his sophomore year, but was injury-free last year.
Fourth, Evans was injured most of last year, did not run the 40 due to injury, so if injuries are a significant factor in the decision, LVE >>> Evans.
Fifth, the discussion about competition is worth consideration, but is not dispositive. Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, Javon Hargrave, Roosevelt Nix and Alejandro Villanueva are all from schools with "lower" competition ... and they seem to be doing pretty well.
Sixth, LVE faced pretty good competition in his last collegiate game, against Oregon. Oregon has several offensive players worthy of a draft selection, including WR Darren Carrington and OT Tyrell Crosby. So what did LVE do against good competition in a bowl game? 12 tackles, a sack, a forced fumble, and defensive player of the game. He also dominated the Mountain West Championship game with 16 tackles, a sack, and a game-sealing interception. So his last 2 collegiate games ... 28 tackles, 5 for loss, 2 sacks, a forced fumble and an interception.
I am leery of the fact that Evans is still not healthy enough to run a 40. I am concerned that his 30" vertical and 9'8" broad jump suggest that he lacks elite fast-twitch. So the competition point matters, no doubt, but not as much as you state. I am more interested in what the player
did when faced with decent competition, if he has the physical tools to be a dominant NFL player, if he projects as merely an NFL player or a star, and if his recent injury history sounds an alarm. LVE does just fine in all categories.
6'4", 256 lb. guys just don't jump 40" and run a 4.65 40, and cover like he does. But he showed all those skills. He also plays like he wants to dominate. He likes playing football. He will get better, and his physical tools mean that when he works, and gets better, he is going to be a beast. I think Evans is a good LB'er, no doubt, and if he winds up a Steeler, then good. But I just don't think his physical profile fits with a guy who can take over a game.