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I think it's a positive that we're not giving **** QBs career games against us this year, so far...
I have been wondering about this impression that bad quarterbacks seem to do well against us. So I thought I'd use my DQR rating data a bit (not perfect) and see who did better when they faced us vs. their season average over the past 2-3 seasons.
In 2016, 8 of the 16 quarterbacks we faced did above their season average and 8 did below.
In 2015, 10 of the 16 quarterbacks we faced did above their season average and 6 did below.
In 2014, 10 of the 15 quarterbacks (one game was not available) we faced did above their season average and 5 did below.
So in general (as we all know), our pass defense hasn't been great. So you are bound to have quarterbacks perform better vs. us than vs. the league.
Now having said all that there are specific games that certainly stick out as "bad quarterbacks having really good games against us" since 2014. Of these the following stick out (again, using my rating system) as games against QB's with season averages lower than 85 (which is lower than average):
2014 - M. Glennon, 98.7 rating (79.7 season rating)
2014 - B. Hoyer, 163.8 rating (81.0 season rating)
2014 - Z. Mettenberger, 144.4 rating (70.2 season rating)
2014 - A. Dalton, 121.1 rating (80.7 season rating)
2015 - C. Kaepernick, 82.2 rating (66.4 season rating)
2015 - A. McCarron, 90.3 rating (82.9 season rating)
2015 - R. Mallet, 99.7 rating (64.4 season rating)
2016 - C. Wentz, 163.4 rating (76.2 season rating)
2016 - R. Tannehill, 135.5 rating (84.1 season rating)
So how many times have we done better vs. bad quarterbacks (those lower than 85 season averages):
2014 - C. Newton, 73.6 (season average 76.7)
2014 - B. Bortles, 45.0 (season average 58.8)
2014 - A. Dalton, 57.4 (season average 80.7)
2015 - J. Flacco, 36.9 (season average 83.2)
2015 - M. Hasselback, 26.4 (season average 75.2)
2015 - B. Osweiler, 69.4 (season average 76.2)
2015 - A. Davis, 23.9 (season average 60.7)
2016 - Flacco/Mallet, 73.6 (season average 78.4)
2016 - McCown/Kessler, 38.3 (season average 67.4)
2016 - E. Manning 50.2 (season average 78.0)
So in general, if ALL quarterbacks have about a 50% of doing better vs. our defense, then it is logical to expect 50% of BAD quarterbacks also have a chance to exceed their season average.
I am not sure it is correct statistical analysis to expect an average defense to do better vs. bad quarterbacks and worse vs. good quarterbacks. Average defense might just mean half of all quarterbacks just do better against us (the good one and the bad ones).
Food for thought....
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