Not sure where everyone is getting this rosy idea that the Steelers have any cap room next year
Evaluating Pittsburgh's Future Salary Cap Woes Heading Into 2020
Whether you're for or against the signing of Dupree, one fact simply cannot be ignored: The Steelers don't exactly have the money to sign Dupree... or a handful of their potential free agents for that matter.
Granted, the 2019 season is nowhere close to being finished, and thus I understand why some will be quick to shy away from looking into the magical crystal ball of the off-season. However, both ourselves and the team would be remiss in our evaluations if we don't recognize a huge red flag to the team's success in 2020 and further.
Who Stays, Who Goes?
As it currently stands, the Steelers have 21 players of various restrictions set to hit free agency following the 2019 season.
Notable restricted free agents: Matt Feiler and Mike Hilton.
Notable unrestricted free agents: B.J. Finney, Artie Burns, Ryan Shazier, Bud Dupree, Sean Davis, Javon Hargrave, and Nick Vannett.
The Steelers are projected to have $6.1 million in cap space (fourth-lowest in the NFL) heading into 2020.
This figure works under the assumption that the NFL's salary cap will reach $200 million, and also includes $8.3 million from draft pick salaries, a figure that may go down if the Steelers decide to trade one of nine projected picks in the 2020 NFL Draft.
However, even if we decide to push the cap up to $10 million after twisting some numbers, the Steelers still find themselves in hot water when it comes to retaining some of their most coveted players after this season. $6.1 million or $10 million doesn't appear to be enough cap room for Pittsburgh, a team that will only have 39 active players on payroll after this year.
https://www.si.com/nfl/steelers/gm-report/pittsburgh-steelers-salary-cap-2020/
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meanwhile
Steelers Still Unlikely To Retain Dupree In 2020 Despite Impressive 2019 Season
Basically, Dupree would likely expect a multiyear deal that had a new money average of around $17 million, which is almost twice what he earned in 2018. Is he worth that much money for one very good season?
Temporary or not, the Steelers would have a rough time accommodating a Dupree 2020 cap charge of $16.266 million. Keep in mind that the team will seemingly need to cut a few players such as wide receiver Donte Moncrief, inside linebacker Mark Barron, outside linebacker Anthony Chickillo prior to the start of the league year in March regardless of what they decide to do with Dupree. The cutting of those three players would clear a much-needed $14.25 million salary cap space prior to roster displacement taking place and I can’t see that freed up money being used on a tag for Dupree.
A new contract for defensive end Cameron Heyward might clear another $3 million in cap space or so that will be needed and there’s a good chance that tackle Alejandro Villanueva, wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster and running back James Conner all sign extensions at some point during the 2020 offseason.
How can you give Dupree $16 million or more a season when you have Villanueva only earning $5 million in 2020?
Yes, it would be nice if the Steelers could manage to find a way to keep Dupree past 2020 but it just doesn’t seem likely to happen. Placing either the franchise or transition tag on Dupree doesn’t make a lot of sense and assuming neither instrument is used, Dupree will test free agency and likely find a team willing to pay him around $16 million a season or more.
He, Jadeveon Clowney, Dante Fowler, Jr., Whitney Mercilus, Shaquil Barrett and Markus Golden are all likely to cash in next March.
The only way that Dupree likely returns to Pittsburgh in 2020 would be via an under-market deal and only after not receiving a favorable response during the first few weeks of free agency. When was the last time a higher-priced unrestricted free agent re-signed back in Pittsburgh after the start of free agency? That sort of thing just doesn’t happen.
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