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An interesting spin on the Bell Situation

Cras108er

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Benz is usually wrong about virtually everything but I agree with him on this... that means im likely wrong lol....

Also every time everything pointed to him repoting he stayed away so now that everything says he isn’t, he will....lol
 
Nothing that hasn't been mentioned in those 99 other Bell threads Crash.

Every scenario has been covered...........
 
Israel and Egypt, formerly bitter enemies (who used to kill each other), worked out a peace deal 40 years ago. (Brokered by Jimmy Carter, of all people...Yes, THAT Jimmy Carter).

There's no reason the Steelers-Bell situation hasn't been resolved by now. Ridiculous really.
 
Even if Bell shows up, you can't trust him and you definitely can't trust him to even play in the playoffs when he will be making less than $100k per game. It's a nice thought but unrealistic.
 
I agree in theory and crossed my mind but honestly couldn’t that be said about Ben or even Brown? If something were to happen to them then it would kill our chances at winning the Super Bowl. I love Juju but he’s not Brown and juju is able to produce at his level because Brown. Also, I think a lot more credit needs to go towards Munchak and this OLine. They made Deangelo look like a pro bowler.
 
Paying the guy 6 million dollars so that he can sit there as an insurance policy. And then if you actually need him you throw him in 11 months since his last game. That doesn't sound very realistic
 
I agree in theory and crossed my mind but honestly couldn’t that be said about Ben or even Brown? If something were to happen to them then it would kill our chances at winning the Super Bowl. I love Juju but he’s not Brown and juju is able to produce at his level because Brown. Also, I think a lot more credit needs to go towards Munchak and this OLine. They made Deangelo look like a pro bowler.

DeAngelo was still a damn good player when healthy. He was miles ahead of the other backup RBs we've been forced to trot out there when Bell was down (Fitz, Ben Tate etc.).
 
Israel and Egypt, formerly bitter enemies (who used to kill each other), worked out a peace deal 40 years ago. (Brokered by Jimmy Carter, of all people...Yes, THAT Jimmy Carter).

There's no reason the Steelers-Bell situation hasn't been resolved by now. Ridiculous really.

Bell probably would have come in if the Steelers were willing to pay him his full salary while he was inactive and working his way into football shape. They decided (either out of principle or because of Conner's success) that they weren't interested in doing that.
 
I have him on my fantasy team and he told me to *(&^ off. I'm pretty sure he isn't showing up.
 
Bell is the Ricky Williams for a new generation of stoners........
 
Even if Bell shows up, you can't trust him and you definitely can't trust him to even play in the playoffs when he will be making less than $100k per game. It's a nice thought but unrealistic.

It's easy to see what the situation is. What we have here is a sequential move game from classic Game Theory. The franchise tag creates a suboptimal perfect equilibrium, but no Nash equilibrium. The Steelers organization tries to leverage the media to optimize their payoff (from at least a PR perspective). Unfortunately, there exists no dominate strategy for either side and Leveon underestimates how well the campaign to malign Leveon's intentions pays off for the Steelers.

Leveon's agent then diagnoses a psuedo-Sweezy (Kinked-Demand) model for his players services, given the attitudes of GMs in the NFL about running backs.
That is, Leveon gives up all of the marginal revenue under the tag in exchange for some floor marginal revenue at match price.

Leveon does this because:
1. The hedged risk-reward is straight out of the playbook from Goldman: give up $8M, under a floor of 6, for more likely than not odds at $70M. #tradermentality &
2. Kinked demand curve assumes an awful lot of price rigidity, i.e. the other firms will match at least that price - in this case $14M a year.
 
My only concern is team chemistry and accepting his role............if those two are good, I'm good.






Salute the nation
 
How do we know Bell would even go 100%? My guess is if he reports, he'll come down with some phantom injury so he doesn't have to play

Sent from my XT1585 using Steeler Nation mobile app
 
How do we know Bell would even go 100%? My guess is if he reports, he'll come down with some phantom injury so he doesn't have to play

Sent from my XT1585 using Steeler Nation mobile app

A liability. Trust is the biggest issue. His risk of injury is going to be higher unless he's been conditioning his *** off all along. His personal risk vs reward now which is all on him for not signing his ridiculously high tag compensation for a starting running back. Our offensive line has proved with Conner that they're a big factor.

I'd say he'd be stupid to even play at this point considering that's his biggest factor above winning. Money.
 
him gone. g-o-n-e.
bellbeadumbee.JPG

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Jus saw <a href="https://twitter.com/LeVeonBell?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@LeVeonBell</a> at the airport boarding a flight for Miami. He’s out</p>— Nate the Great (@BurghRambler909) <a href="https://twitter.com/BurghRambler909/status/1062324842807070721?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 13, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Sounds like he already left. If he does show up he would be a damn luxury to have as a back up to Conner
 
him gone. g-o-n-e.
View attachment 4273

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Jus saw <a href="https://twitter.com/LeVeonBell?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@LeVeonBell</a> at the airport boarding a flight for Miami. He’s out</p>— Nate the Great (@BurghRambler909) <a href="https://twitter.com/BurghRambler909/status/1062324842807070721?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 13, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

I was waiting for this post!
 
Easiest way to translate.

Game Theory: given what your opponent does, you move to maximize your payoff (but not necessarily the odds of getting paid off).

Sweezy demand: a good or service only has so much marginal benefit when a competitor will match the price.

In our situation, Bell is a service. He is most valuable (marginal revenue high) Weeks 1-10, but then the tag dictates that his marginal revenue drops vertically as the season winds down at Week10. At that point, Bell retains the option to recover the remaining lower marginal revenue.

WHY do this? Risk-reward. High marginal revenue carries exponentially higher risk (i.e. GMs would use the extra carries Bell had to negotiate a significantly lower guaranteed signing bonus based on wear and tear).

Ask yourself, already comfortable with money, would you picket your job for half a year knowing that you could return for just under the half year while retaining 80/20 odds to get 6 times the money in cash from your employer's competitor? ...considering that the 6 times cash is roughly 6 times your yearly salary? I know i'd think that this was my one shot. And yeah, i'd hold out for 6 times cold, hard cash.
 
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